Step 1

Choose Where You Stand

Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

Confirm Your Entry

Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Ali Khamenei leave his post as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

25%

75%

Ali Khamenei has ruled Iran since 1989 and holds ultimate power in the system. Leadership changes are rare and tightly controlled. Renewed unrest, economic pressure, Trump’s call for “new leadership,” and persistent health rumors have revived succession speculation. Still, Iran’s system is designed to absorb crises without change, making any departure a historic and destabilizing event.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by March 31, 2026, Ali Khamenei formally steps down, is removed by constitutional process, or is confirmed deceased, ending his tenure as Supreme Leader of Iran, as reported by Iranian authorities or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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