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Will the United States, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates conduct direct military strikes against Iran following the recent cross-border attacks?

60%
40%

The United States, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE jointly condemned Iran’s missile and drone attacks across the region, calling them reckless violations of sovereignty and a threat to civilian populations. The coalition emphasized its right to self-defense and highlighted coordinated air and missile defense efforts that prevented greater damage. While the statement signals strong unity and deterrence, it stops short of announcing retaliatory action. The key uncertainty is whether this defensive coordination escalates into direct offensive strikes on Iranian territory or military assets if tensions continue to rise.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by March 31, 2026, any of the following countries — the United States, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates — officially confirms conducting at least one direct military strike against Iranian territory or Iranian military assets in response to the described attacks, as reported by major international media. Otherwise — “No.”

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