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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will the U.S. begin selling Venezuelan oil to Russia or China in 2026?

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U.S. President Donald Trump said the United States is open to selling Venezuelan oil to Russia and China, signaling a major shift in sanctions enforcement and energy policy toward Venezuela. U.S. officials have framed the plan as part of a multi-stage process to restart Venezuelan production, with proceeds routed through U.S.-controlled accounts.

Economics
Geopolitics
Markets

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by April 30, 2026, verifiable shipments of Venezuelan crude sold by or through U.S.-authorized channels are delivered to Russia or China, confirmed by government statements, shipping data, or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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