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Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

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Will Russia officially announce increased sunflower oil exports to India (above 10% or more) by January 31, 2026?

Event ended
33%
67%

With ongoing trade adjustments, Russia is expected to boost sunflower oil exports to India. This market tracks whether an official increase of over 10% is confirmed by January 2026.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves to 'Yes' if official trade data or government statement confirms exports to India have risen over 10% by Jan 31, 2026. Otherwise, resolves to 'No'.

Results

Between September 27, 2025 and January 31, 2026, Russia did not release official trade data or government statements confirming that sunflower oil exports to India increased by more than 10%. Therefore, the market condition was not met.

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