Step 1

Choose Where You Stand

Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

Confirm Your Entry

Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will any Wagner Group operations be officially confirmed in Africa before December 1, 2025?

0%

100%

Despite leadership changes, the Wagner Group remains active in Africa. Will the Russian government or African states confirm any new or continued operations before the end of November?

Geopolitics

Conditions

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official statement or media report with state confirmation is made before December 1, 2025, verifying Wagner’s operations in any African country. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Comments

U

No comments yet

Similar Events

Will the EU or US impose new sanctions on Russian state tech companies before December 31, 2025?

77%

23%

Will Russia and China confirm a new military cooperation treaty involving airborne assault training by December 31, 2025?

67%

33%

Will Rosneft deliver an additional 2.5 million tons of oil to China via Kazakhstan before the end of Q4 2025?

25%

75%

Will Russia be cited in an official NATO or EU report for airspace violations by December 31, 2025?

50%

50%

Will Kazakh oil exports via the Black Sea remain uninterrupted through December 2025?

25%

75%

Will Russia and India sign a long-term energy cooperation agreement before the end of 2025?

33%

67%

Will Belarus admit deployment of Russian nuclear weapons on its territory by end‑2025?

33%

67%

Will Kazakhstan remain neutral and not act as a mediator in the Russia–Ukraine conflict through the end of 2025?

33%

67%

Will Belarus formally integrate (or sign a treaty) into Russia’s Federation structure in 2025?

50%

50%

Will Russia officially adopt a BRICS digital currency mechanism before January 2026?

44%

56%

Will Russia officially announce increased sunflower oil exports to India (above 10% or more) by January 31, 2026?

33%

67%

Will Kazakhstan and Turkey sign a long-term agreement to increase oil exports via the BTC pipeline before Q2 2026?

50%

50%

Will Hungary continue to import over 80% of its natural gas from Russia through 2026?

33%

67%