Step 1

Choose Where You Stand

Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Cuba face major U.S. pressure or political change in 2026?

60%

40%

Following a U.S. operation in Venezuela, President Donald Trump publicly signaled that Cuba could be next on Washington’s agenda, stating that the island “looks ready to fall,” while stopping short of calling for direct intervention. Secretary of State Marco Rubio reinforced the rhetoric, describing Cuba as an economic “catastrophe” ruled by an aging and ineffective leadership. Together, the statements suggest rising political pressure, even as U.S. officials emphasize “helping the people” rather than overt regime change.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by end-2026 the U.S. formally escalates its Cuba policy — through new transition-focused sanctions, U.S.-backed reform talks, or a clear governance shift tied to U.S. pressure — confirmed by official statements or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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