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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 2

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Step 3

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After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will U.S. military action against Mexico be pursued in 2026?

75%

25%

After the U.S. military strike in Venezuela, **U.S. President Donald Trump suggested the United States might also need to take action against Mexico to confront powerful drug cartels, saying “something has to be done” because cartels are “running Mexico.”

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, by June 30, 2026, the United States officially launches a unilateral military operation on Mexican soil targeting drug cartel infrastructure, confirmed by U.S. or Mexican government announcements or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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