Step 1

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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will U.S.–Colombia relations sharply deteriorate in 2026?

25%

75%

President Donald Trump publicly warned Colombia’s leader Gustavo Petro, accusing him of tolerating cocaine production and urging “caution,” remarks delivered at Mar-a-Lago and framed by the recent U.S. action in Venezuela. Bogotá pushed back forcefully: Petro rejected the claims, called for resistance to U.S. pressure, and said he was unconcerned by Washington’s posture — signaling a rare, direct confrontation that could strain ties.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by Sept 30, 2026, U.S.–Colombia relations formally deteriorate — via sanctions or aid cuts, a diplomatic downgrade, or a sustained high-level rupture — confirmed by official statements or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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