Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Russia be cited in an official NATO or EU report for airspace violations by December 31, 2025?

50%
50%

Tensions have escalated with several Russian military aircraft breaching NATO airspace. This market tracks whether Russia will be cited for airspace violations in a NATO or EU report.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves to 'Yes' if NATO or the EU publishes a report citing Russia for airspace violations by Dec 31, 2025. Otherwise, resolves to 'No'.

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