Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 2
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Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Russia be cited in an official NATO or EU report for airspace violations by December 31, 2025?

Event ended
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Tensions have escalated with several Russian military aircraft breaching NATO airspace. This market tracks whether Russia will be cited for airspace violations in a NATO or EU report.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves to 'Yes' if NATO or the EU publishes a report citing Russia for airspace violations by Dec 31, 2025. Otherwise, resolves to 'No'.

Results

Between September 27 and December 31, 2025, neither NATO nor the European Union published an official report citing Russia for airspace violations. Therefore, the market condition was not met.

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