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Search event

Will Russia supply Ukraine with discounted energy as part of post-war reconstruction by the end of 2026?

75%
25%

Amid renewed diplomatic signals, Donald Trump stated that Russia is prepared to help rebuild Ukraine and supply energy at low prices, following talks with Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The comments come as Kyiv estimates up to $800 billion will be needed for reconstruction, while gas transit agreements with Russia have expired and debates over frozen Russian assets continue in the EU.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, on or before December 31, 2026, an official agreement or publicly confirmed arrangement is announced providing Russian energy supplies to Ukraine at preferential or discounted terms, confirmed by statements from the governments of Russia, Ukraine, or the United States, or reporting from major outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, AP, BBC). Otherwise — No.

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