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Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

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Search event

Will Elon Musk remain the world’s richest person through January 2026?

Event ended
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Elon Musk’s net worth remains highly sensitive to movements in Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader equity-market conditions. While Musk has frequently traded places at the top of global wealth rankings with Bernard Arnault and other billionaires, sharp swings in tech valuations, luxury-sector performance, and private-company repricing continue to drive volatility.

Economics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if Elon Musk is ranked as the world’s richest person on January 31, 2026, based on at least one of the following authoritative sources: • Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List • Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Otherwise — NO.

Results

As of January 31, 2026, Elon Musk was not ranked as the world’s richest person by either the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List or the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Therefore, the market condition was not met.

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