
Will the U.S. dollar resume its decline in 2026 after a brief stabilization?
After its worst year in nearly a decade, the U.S. dollar has temporarily rebounded, but most investors and currency strategists expect renewed weakness in 2026 as Federal Reserve rate cuts, a narrowing growth gap with Europe and China, and rising U.S. fiscal and political risks erode its long-term support.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if by March 31, 2026, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) trades at least 5% below its December 31, 2025 closing level, as confirmed by Reuters, Bloomberg, or official market data. Otherwise — No.
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