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Search event

Will crypto adoption in Iran continue accelerating in early 2026?

60%
40%

Data from Chainalysis show a sharp rise in crypto activity in Iran amid the rial’s collapse, high inflation, and nationwide protests. Transfers from exchanges to personal wallets surged across all transaction sizes, signaling increased use of crypto — especially bitcoin — as a financial refuge during instability.

Cryptocurrency
Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by February 28, 2026, Chainalysis or other major analytics firms confirm continued elevated crypto activity in Iran (e.g., sustained on-chain volumes or wallet activity above pre-protest levels), as reported by major international media. Otherwise — No.

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