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Search event

Will the cryptocurrency market crash by March 31, 2026?

60%
40%

Analysts at Bravos Research argue that major market downturns—both in equities and crypto—have historically occurred only when inflation rises above ~3.5%, forcing tighter monetary policy and draining liquidity from risk assets.

Cryptocurrency

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, by March 31, 2026, U.S. inflation (CPI or PCE) rises above 3.5% and the cryptocurrency market experiences a broad crash, defined as Bitcoin falling at least 30% from its recent peak and the total crypto market capitalization declining by 30% or more, as confirmed by BLS or Federal Reserve data and reporting from Bloomberg, Reuters, or major crypto analytics firms. Otherwise — NO.

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