Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will AI-driven smart contract exploits exceed $1 billion in total losses by June 30, 2026?

50%
50%

AI agents are rapidly transforming blockchain security risks. A new Anthropic report shows that advanced autonomous models — including Claude Opus 4.5, Sonnet 4.5 and GPT-5 — successfully exploited 17 of 34 newly deployed contracts in simulation, stealing $4.5M in mock funds. Across 405 historical contracts, the agents generated $550M in simulated exploit revenue. They also uncovered two entirely new zero-day vulnerabilities missed by audits and prior attackers. Anthropic notes that AI-driven exploit profitability has doubled every 1.3 months, while the cost of running such agents keeps dropping, enabling large-scale autonomous probing of on-chain code.

Cryptocurrency
Technology

Conditions

Resolves to “Yes” if publicly verified on-chain exploit reports (Chainalysis, SlowMist, CertiK, Immunefi, PeckShield, De.Fi REKT Database, or major exchange disclosures) show that AI-assisted or AI-initiated attacks resulted in a combined total of $1,000,000,000 or more in confirmed losses until June 30, 2026. Otherwise — NO.

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