Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
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Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
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After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will confidential Apple device designs be leaked following the Luxshare hack?

33%
67%

A ransomware group claims to have breached Luxshare, a key assembler for Apple, and threatens to publish CAD files and engineering documentation if demands are not met. Cybersecurity researchers have already verified samples of the stolen data, including detailed designs for current and unreleased Apple devices.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by February 28, 2026, verified CAD files or internal engineering documents related to Apple devices are publicly released or broadly circulated online, as confirmed by Apple, Luxshare, or major cybersecurity and technology media. Otherwise — No.

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