
Will successful cyberattacks on Russian organizations rise by at least 30% within the next 5 months?
Cybersecurity firm Positive Technologies warns that Russia is entering a new wave of digital threats. Analysts expect the number of successful cyberattacks on Russian organizations to increase by 30–35% compared with 2025, driven by AI-powered phishing, more complex malware, and growing attacks on supply chains. The most exposed sectors include industry, government, IT, telecom, and increasingly small and medium-sized businesses, which are now seen as easy entry points. Experts note that rapid digitalization, rushed import substitution, and the expansion of cybercrime services on the darknet are amplifying risks—even if geopolitical tensions ease.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if, by May 31, 2026, reputable cybersecurity reports confirm that successful cyberattacks on Russian organizations have increased by 30% or more compared with the same period in 2025, based on data from major cybersecurity firms, official statistics, or credible Russian and international media. Otherwise — NO.
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