Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will Tesla launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) by April 30, 2026?

67%
33%

Tesla continues to push toward full vehicle autonomy, with Elon Musk repeatedly stating that unsupervised FSD is a near-term goal rather than a distant vision. Recent software iterations show rapid progress in neural-network driving, end-to-end autonomy, and reduced driver interventions, while Tesla positions its approach as distinct from lidar-heavy competitors by relying primarily on vision and AI. However, major hurdles remain. True unsupervised FSD requires not only technical readiness but also regulatory acceptance, safety validation at scale, and clear consumer rollout criteria.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, on or before April 30, 2026, Tesla officially releases an unsupervised version of Full Self-Driving to the public or a defined user group, where no active driver monitoring or hands-on supervision is required, as confirmed by Tesla announcements, regulatory filings, or reporting from major outlets such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or The Wall Street Journal. Otherwise — No.

Comments

U
No comments yet
Similar Events

Similar Events

event

Will the Soyuz launch pad at Baikonur be fully ready for its first launch by the end of winter 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will confidential Apple device designs be leaked following the Luxshare hack?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will the surge in Chinese AI chip stocks turn into a major market correction by early 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Tesla successfully relaunch Dojo as a space-focused AI supercomputer?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will WhatsApp be fully blocked in Russia?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will the “Molniya” messenger officially launch in early 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan move toward deploying small modular reactors (SMRs) with U.S. support by early 2026?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Apple and Google form a landmark AI partnership by April 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will Apple raise iPhone and device prices by up to 10% in early 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will robot rentals become a mainstream automation model in China by the end of April 2026?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will successful cyberattacks on Russian organizations rise by at least 30% within the next 5 months?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will TrustMe successfully scale its business in the U.S. following acceptance into Stanford’s StartX?

73%
27%
Until the end
event

Will Meta face legal penalties in the Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses lawsuit?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will China successfully launch the Long March 10 superheavy rocket by mid-2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will The Defiant emerge as a breakout WWII shooter after its first gameplay reveal?

75%
25%
Until the end