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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 2
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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Apple introduce additional protections for older iPhones affected by zero-click spyware attacks?

57%
43%

Apple issued an emergency warning confirming large-scale zero-click spyware attacks targeting the WebKit engine used by Safari and many iOS apps. According to the company, malicious web content can silently compromise an iPhone without any user interaction. Apple states that the attacks are already occurring in the wild and disproportionately affect journalists, activists, and politicians, though all users are potentially at risk. The vulnerability is patched only in iOS 26 / 26.2, requiring immediate updates and device restarts. However, adoption remains low. Data from Malwarebytes Labs indicates that as of January 2026, only 16% of iPhone users have updated to a protected version. Millions of devices—including iPhone XR, XS, X, 8, and older models—are permanently excluded from iOS 26 and no longer receive security updates, leaving them exposed to full device compromise. The uncertainty lies in whether Apple will respond with exceptional mitigation measures—such as extended security patches, architectural workarounds, or formal guidance to disable vulnerable components—or maintain its current support cutoff despite the scale of risk.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, Apple releases additional security measures for unsupported or legacy iPhone models affected by zero-click WebKit exploits (including extended patches, mitigations, or official system-level safeguards), as confirmed by Apple announcements or reported by major technology and cybersecurity media. Otherwise — “No.”

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