Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Google implement reduced Play Store commissions and allow approved third-party app stores in major markets?

86%
14%

Google has announced plans to lower its Play Store commissions and allow approved third-party app stores, responding in part to regulatory pressure and legal disputes such as the case brought by Epic Games. Under the proposed changes, commissions would drop from the current 30% to 20% for in-app purchases and 10% for subscriptions. Developers would also be able to use alternative payment systems or direct website payments, with Google’s payment service adding an extra 5% fee. The new framework is expected to begin rolling out in Europe, the United Kingdom, and the United States by mid-2026, with global implementation planned later. The move could significantly change the mobile app ecosystem by increasing competition among app stores and payment systems. The uncertainty lies in whether the policy will be fully implemented as announced — or delayed due to regulatory, technical, or legal challenges.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, Google officially implements Play Store commission reductions (20% for in-app purchases and 10% for subscriptions) and allows at least one approved third-party app store or alternative payment system within the Play Store ecosystem in the United States, United Kingdom, or the European Union, as confirmed by Google or major technology media. Otherwise — “No.”

Comments

U
No comments yet