
Will the U.S. formalize a long-term Bitcoin strategic reserve policy?
The United States has decided to retain confiscated Bitcoin — including assets seized from Samourai Wallet — and add them to a strategic reserve, according to statements attributed to the administration of Donald Trump. The move signals a shift away from liquidating seized crypto toward treating Bitcoin as a long-term strategic asset. The question is whether this ad-hoc decision becomes formal policy.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, the U.S. government codifies or publicly formalizes a policy to maintain seized Bitcoin in a strategic reserve (e.g., executive guidance, Treasury/DOJ policy memo, or official reserve reporting), confirmed by government releases or major financial media. Otherwise — No.
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