Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will the U.S. signal a shift toward buying Bitcoin for strategic reserves?

67%
33%

At the Bitcoin Brainstorm event, Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, argued that Bitcoin is entering a more mature phase, with declining volatility and a strengthening role as “digital gold.” She noted that a major catalyst for Bitcoin’s scarcity value would be a policy shift by the United States—from merely holding confiscated BTC to actively purchasing Bitcoin for strategic reserves. Such a move would represent a significant change in U.S. crypto policy and could materially affect market expectations.

Cryptocurrency
Politics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by May, 31 2026, U.S. authorities publicly signal or confirm plans to purchase Bitcoin for strategic or reserve purposes (e.g., official statements, executive actions, or policy documents), as reported by major financial or government sources. Otherwise — No.

Comments

U
No comments yet
Similar Events

Similar Events

event

Will crypto adoption in Iran continue accelerating in early 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will SOL break above $160 by the end of February, 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Ethereum fall below $2,500 by February 28, 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire agreement by the end of February, 2026?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan’s new $1B state crypto fund reshape the country’s financial future by 2026?

72%
28%
Until the end
event

Will independent political candidacy be banned in Kazakhstan before March 2026?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will the price of $MAXI rise above $0.001 by March 1, 2026?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Russia and Kazakhstan sign a final agreement to build the Ulken nuclear plant by early 2026?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will the cryptocurrency market crash by March 31, 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Ukraine hold a nationwide referendum on a peace deal in 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will any regional governor (oblysy äkim) be removed or replaced in Kazakhstan before Q1 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Bitcoin and Ethereum see a net capital inflow from both retail and institutional investors throughout Q1 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will Russia take formal political or economic retaliatory measures against Kazakhstan over its NATO-aligned military production by March 30, 2026?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will the crypto market enter a new bullish phase by early 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will WhatsApp be fully blocked in Russia?

25%
75%
Until the end