Step 1

Choose Where You Stand

Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

Confirm Your Entry

Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will OpenAI officially launch its first consumer hardware device in 2026?

83%

17%

OpenAI says it is on track to introduce its first physical product in the second half of 2026, developed with Jony Ive and his studio LoveFrom. The company positions the project as a new kind of AI-native device, not a traditional phone or wearable.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by December 31, 2026, OpenAI officially unveils or releases a physical hardware product, as confirmed by the company or major tech media. Otherwise — “No.”

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