Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will a human land on the Moon in 2026?

60%
40%

Space agencies continue to target the mid-2020s for a return of astronauts to the Moon, led by NASA under the Artemis program. While uncrewed and crewed test missions are progressing, timelines have repeatedly slipped due to technical, safety, and budget constraints—particularly around lunar landers and spacesuits.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by December 31, 2026, at least one human astronaut lands on the Moon’s surface and safely returns, as confirmed by official space agency announcements or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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