Will Vladimir Putin step down as President of Russia by June 30, 2026?
Speculation about Russia’s political future periodically resurfaces amid prolonged geopolitical pressure, economic constraints, and internal elite dynamics. While no official succession plans have been announced and the Kremlin maintains a posture of stability, analysts note that unexpected triggers — such as health concerns, elite reshuffles, constitutional maneuvers, or extraordinary political events — have historically played decisive roles in leadership transitions in highly centralized systems.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if, on or before June 30, 2026, Vladimir Putin formally resigns, is removed, or is officially replaced as President of the Russian Federation, as confirmed by a Kremlin decree, the Central Election Commission, or reporting from major international outlets (Reuters, BBC, AP, Bloomberg). Otherwise — No.
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