Will Belarus formally integrate (or sign a treaty) into Russia’s Federation structure in 2025?
Event ended
50%
50%
Belarus and Russia maintain deep integration ties. A formal treaty to integrate Belarus into Russia’s federal system would mark a major geopolitical shift.
Conditions
Resolves to 'Yes' if a formal treaty is signed or legislative acts are passed integrating Belarus into the Russian Federation by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, resolves to 'No'.
Results
By December 31, 2025, no treaty was signed and no legislative acts were adopted that would integrate Belarus into the Russian Federation. Therefore, the market condition was not met.
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