
Will Belarus admit deployment of Russian nuclear weapons on its territory by end‑2025?
Event ended
33%
67%
Although Russian tactical nuclear weapons are reportedly present in Belarus, a formal public admission remains politically sensitive. This market predicts whether such an admission will occur in 2025.
Conditions
Resolves to 'Yes' if a Belarusian government official publicly confirms the presence of Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus before December 31, 2025. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
Results
Belarusian government officials, including President Alexander Lukashenko, publicly confirmed the presence of Russian nuclear weapons on Belarusian territory. As this confirmation occurred before December 31, 2025, the market condition was met.
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