Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will Apple overtake Huawei to become the No.1 smartphone brand in China in 2026?

67%
33%

Apple narrowly missed the top spot in China in 2025. Counterpoint Research shows Apple reached 21.8% market share in Q4 after a 28% jump in iPhone shipments, while full-year results left it just behind Huawei (16.9% vs. Apple’s 16.7%). Huawei weakened late in 2025 but rebounded in early 2026 with subsidies, while Apple rode strong premium demand despite a flat market. The question now is whether Apple can sustain this momentum—or if Huawei will hold onto leadership in 2026.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, Apple is reported by Counterpoint Research or other major market analysts as having a larger cumulative smartphone market share in China (year-to-date 2026) than Huawei. Otherwise — No.

Comments

U
No comments yet
Similar Events

Similar Events

event

Will the Soyuz launch pad at Baikonur be fully ready for its first launch by the end of winter 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will confidential Apple device designs be leaked following the Luxshare hack?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will the surge in Chinese AI chip stocks turn into a major market correction by early 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Tesla successfully relaunch Dojo as a space-focused AI supercomputer?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will WhatsApp be fully blocked in Russia?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will the “Molniya” messenger officially launch in early 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan move toward deploying small modular reactors (SMRs) with U.S. support by early 2026?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Apple and Google form a landmark AI partnership by April 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will Apple raise iPhone and device prices by up to 10% in early 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will robot rentals become a mainstream automation model in China by the end of April 2026?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will Tesla launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) by April 30, 2026?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will successful cyberattacks on Russian organizations rise by at least 30% within the next 5 months?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will TrustMe successfully scale its business in the U.S. following acceptance into Stanford’s StartX?

73%
27%
Until the end
event

Will Meta face legal penalties in the Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses lawsuit?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will China successfully launch the Long March 10 superheavy rocket by mid-2026?

40%
60%
Until the end