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Search event

Will Tesla successfully launch robotaxi services in 30+ cities in 2026?

67%
33%

Tesla plans to launch its robotaxi service in 30+ cities in 2026 while scaling Cybercab production, potentially marking its biggest step yet toward large-scale autonomous revenue beyond EVs. However, skepticism remains as rivals like Waymo advance faster, leaving Tesla’s outlook split between a ~26% base-case and up to ~68% bullish stock scenario.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by September 30, 2026, Tesla confirms operational robotaxi services in 30 or more cities (with regulatory approval or paid rides) as confirmed by Tesla statements or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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