Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will TikTok complete the sale of its U.S. business to a U.S.-controlled entity by January 22, 2026?

Event ended
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After years of regulatory pressure over national security concerns, TikTok has signed an agreement to sell its U.S. operations to a joint venture backed by Oracle, Silver Lake, and the MGX investment fund. According to internal communications cited by Bloomberg and Axios, the new entity will operate independently from ByteDance and assume control over U.S. user data, algorithms, content moderation, and software oversight. The deal is intended to resolve U.S. government objections and is scheduled to close in late January 2026.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, on or before January 22, 2026, TikTok officially completes the transaction and transfers operational control of its U.S. business to the U.S.-controlled joint venture, as confirmed by company announcements, regulatory filings, or reporting from Bloomberg, Reuters, AP, or Axios. Otherwise — No.

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