Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will rising memory chip prices trigger large-scale layoffs in the consumer electronics industry?

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60%

Industry insiders warn that rapidly rising prices for computer and mobile memory could place severe financial pressure on smartphone and electronics manufacturers. According to Yixiu Technology founder Wang Teng Thomas, memory costs are expected to keep climbing in the near term, potentially forcing companies to cut expenses — including workforce reductions. Executives at Xiaomi have also acknowledged the prolonged surge in component costs. Company president Lu Weibing described the current cycle of price increases as unusually long and suggested that the supply imbalance may persist until 2027 due to the time required to expand semiconductor production capacity. Analysts attribute the shortage largely to the global boom in artificial intelligence computing, which has sharply increased demand for memory chips. The uncertainty lies in whether companies will absorb the higher costs or respond with major layoffs across the industry.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by December 31, 2026, at least three major global consumer electronics manufacturers (such as smartphone, PC, or device makers) publicly announce layoffs of 5% or more of their workforce, explicitly citing rising component or memory costs as a contributing factor, as reported by major international business media. Otherwise — “No.”

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