Step 1

Choose Where You Stand

Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

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Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Kazakh oil exports via the Black Sea remain uninterrupted through December 2025?

25%

75%

Kazakhstan’s oil exports via the Black Sea were recently disrupted due to new Russian port restrictions, but shipments have resumed. Will they remain stable through the end of the year?

Geopolitics

Kazakhstan

Conditions

Resolves to Yes if there are no officially confirmed interruptions (halted shipments or port blockades) of Kazakh Black Sea oil exports reported by government or major media between now and Dec 31, 2025. Any confirmed suspension longer than 48h = No.

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