
Will stablecoins become the primary driver of global crypto adoption by the end of 2026?
Stablecoins are quickly becoming the core of real-world crypto usage, powering most global transaction volume—from remittances and payments to DeFi activity and on-chain salaries. Dollar-pegged tokens still dominate, but more countries are rolling out local-currency stablecoins to improve domestic payments and strengthen monetary sovereignty. At the same time, tokenization of real-world assets is accelerating, with markets like Singapore and Hong Kong moving from pilots to regulated tokenized bonds and funds. On-chain RWA value (excluding stablecoins) has already grown over 63% this year. Together, these trends show a structural shift—stablecoins and tokenized assets are becoming central to global financial infrastructure, especially in early-adopting regions like the U.S., Canada, Lithuania, Poland, and the Philippines.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, any major analytics provider (e.g., Chainalysis, IntoTheBlock, Kaiko, CoinMetrics, BIS, IMF, Coinbase, Binance Research, Messari, or DL Research) explicitly concludes that stablecoins are the leading global driver of real-world crypto adoption—surpassing DeFi, NFTs, gaming, or speculative trading in transaction volume, user activity, or practical use cases. Otherwise — NO.
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