Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will Kazakhstan secure a concrete new international nuclear disarmament initiative in 2026?

17%
83%

Speaking at the United Nations University in Tokyo, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev argued that global security can no longer rely on nuclear deterrence and called for renewed high-level dialogue among nuclear powers, full nuclear disarmament, and the entry into force of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. Drawing on the shared historical trauma of Semipalatinsk, Hiroshima, and Nagasaki, Tokayev positioned Kazakhstan — alongside Japan — as a moral leader capable of bridging divides where nuclear states struggle to reach consensus.

Geopolitics
Kazakhstan

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, on or before June 30, 2026, Kazakhstan formally launches, co-leads, or secures international backing for a new concrete multilateral initiative on nuclear disarmament or non-proliferation (e.g., a UN-backed dialogue platform, joint Kazakhstan – Japan proposal, or formal diplomatic framework endorsed by multiple states), as confirmed by official UN records, Kazakh government statements, or major international media. Otherwise — No.

Comments

U
No comments yet
Similar Events

Similar Events

event

Will Barys be forced to play without Alikhan Omirbekov in the coming weeks?

94%
6%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan's national team win at least one gold medal at the 2026 Olympic Games?

29%
71%
Until the end
event

Will crypto adoption in Iran continue accelerating in early 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Lukoil exit its Kazakhstan assets by the U.S. deadline?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will the Soyuz launch pad at Baikonur be fully ready for its first launch by the end of winter 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan face major heating plant accidents in January and February 2026?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan’s new $1B state crypto fund reshape the country’s financial future by 2026?

72%
28%
Until the end
event

Will independent political candidacy be banned in Kazakhstan before March 2026?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will the fight between Rakhmonov and Buckley be officially announced by the UFC by March 31, 2026?

77%
23%
Until the end
event

Will Kazatomprom remain Kazakhstan’s largest publicly traded company through March 31, 2026?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Kaisar Kamza be detained or formally charged in Kazakhstan?

91%
9%
Until the end
event

Will Russia and Kazakhstan sign a final agreement to build the Ulken nuclear plant by early 2026?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will the U.S. launch a military strike against Iran by March 31, 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will Ukraine hold a nationwide referendum on a peace deal in 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will any regional governor (oblysy äkim) be removed or replaced in Kazakhstan before Q1 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end