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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will Apple announce a new CEO by the end of January 2026?

Event ended
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50%

Reports from Financial Times and Reuters suggest that Apple may be preparing for a leadership transition, with insiders increasingly pointing to the eventual departure of Tim Cook despite record iPhone sales in 2025. While some sources say Cook remains fully engaged and may stay longer, others indicate that a succession process is already underway, with internal candidates—such as Apple’s head of engineering—widely discussed. Investors are closely watching whether Apple will use this moment to pivot toward a more technology-driven leadership style amid intensifying competition and the global AI race.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, on or before January 31, 2026, Apple officially announces Tim Cook’s departure as CEO or formally names a successor (including a designated CEO-elect or transition plan), as confirmed by Apple press releases or reporting from major outlets such as Financial Times, Reuters, or Bloomberg. Otherwise — No.

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