Will Kazakhstan secure explicit assurances that Ukrainian forces will refrain from attacks on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) infrastructure?

Kazakhstan says Ukraine currently has “no formal position” on attacks affecting the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), a key export route carrying Kazakh oil to Europe. Astana has intensified diplomacy, engaging European ambassadors and energy stakeholders, underscoring Europe’s dependence on CPC flows and calling for active participation in safeguarding energy security. Despite ongoing talks, Ukraine has not issued official assurances, even as incidents near CPC-linked assets continue to raise risks for Kazakhstan’s exports. The question is whether quiet diplomacy—via European partners and consortium members—can translate into clear commitments that reduce future disruptions.