
Will Brent Crude reach $105 per barrel before September 30, 2026?
Brent crude traded near $89.61 per barrel on July 29, 2026, after gaining 6.6% in a single session amid escalating US-Iran hostilities. Prices have risen roughly 20% during July as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted. This market evaluates whether the front-month contract will reach the $105 level within the specified period.
Conditions
Resolves "Yes" if the ICE Brent Crude front-month futures contract trades at or above $105.00 per barrel at any time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, according to ICE intraday and settlement data. Spot assessments and dated Brent quotations do not count. Otherwise — "No".
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