
Will the Nasdaq Composite close below 22,000 before September 30, 2026?
The Nasdaq Composite closed at 24,876.91 on July 28, 2026, roughly 8% below its record close of 27,086.81 set on June 1, 2026. A sustained sell-off in semiconductor and AI-related shares has pressured the index through July, while investors weigh elevated inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve. This market evaluates whether the index will close below the 22,000 level within the specified period.
Conditions
Resolves "Yes" if the official closing level of the Nasdaq Composite Index (^IXIC) published by Nasdaq is below 22,000.00 in any regular trading session between market creation and September 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Intraday levels do not count. Otherwise — "No".
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