Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will governments impose new major sanctions on crypto platforms linked to sanctions evasion?

50%
50%

A new report by Chainalysis indicates that cryptocurrency transactions linked to sanctions evasion surged dramatically in 2025. Addresses associated with sanctioned entities reportedly received about $154 billion in crypto, a 694% increase compared with the previous year. Analysts say digital assets are increasingly used by sanctioned states such as Russia, Iran, and North Korea to facilitate trade, move funds internationally, and procure restricted goods. The report highlights the rapid growth of crypto infrastructure linked to sanctioned actors, including large-scale stablecoin transactions and cyber theft tied to state-backed groups. Despite the surge, most crypto activity remains legal, with illicit transactions still estimated at less than 1% of the total market. However, regulators may intensify oversight as governments grow concerned about crypto’s role in sanctions circumvention. The uncertainty lies in whether authorities will respond with major enforcement actions targeting exchanges, payment networks, or crypto services suspected of enabling sanctioned actors.

Cryptocurrency

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by December 31, 2026, the government of the United States, the European Union, or the United Kingdom officially imposes new sanctions on at least one cryptocurrency exchange, blockchain network, or crypto service provider specifically for facilitating sanctions evasion by sanctioned states or entities, as confirmed by official government announcements and major financial media. Otherwise — “No.”

Comments

U
No comments yet