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Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

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A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will the SEC approve any spot ETH ETF before December 1, 2025?

Event ended

75%

25%

75%

25%

The U.S. SEC is now adjusting its approach to crypto ETPs, including permitting in-kind creations and redemptions. This market tracks whether a formal approval is granted for a spot Ethereum ETF before December 1, 2025.

Cryptocurrency

Conditions

Resolves to 'Yes' if the SEC publicly approves a spot Ethereum ETF (via a formal order or regulatory filing) on its website or via SEC press release before December 1, 2025. Otherwise — NO.

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