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Geopolitics

(66)
event

Will the United States and Iran formally announce a nuclear agreement before September 30, 2026?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine be announced before December 31, 2026?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Is Iran becoming the biggest energy winner of the current war?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Iran turn words into war — and strike Ukraine next?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will Middle Eastern countries rapidly scale defense deals with European startups?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Can Pakistan become a key mediator between the United States and Iran?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Russian oil deliveries to Cuba continue despite US pressure?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan resume or expand oil exports to Europe via Russia’s Druzhba pipeline?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will the current energy crisis surpass the 1970s oil crisis in economic impact?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will United States actually move to exit NATO under Donald Trump?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Iran actually mine the Persian Gulf shipping routes?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait face disruption affecting global oil markets?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Gulf states push the US into a deeper war with Iran?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will Russia enter a recession in 2026?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will United Arab Emirates take direct military action to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will the United States attempt to seize Iran’s Kharg Island oil hub?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Donald Trump resign from office amid growing protests?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will Russia sustain elevated oil revenues due to the Iran conflict in the short term?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave office as Israel’s prime minister by December 31, 2026?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Italy replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup if Iran refuses to participate?

33%
67%
Until the end

The “Geopolitics” category includes predictions on events related to international relations and global developments. Users can evaluate possible scenarios based on news, analysis, and the current geopolitical landscape. Nexory aggregates community sentiment and enables users to participate in forecasting major global events.