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Search event

Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave office as Israel’s prime minister by December 31, 2026?

33%
67%

The political future of Benjamin Netanyahu remains uncertain amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic political pressure in Israel. Netanyahu has led Israel through several turbulent periods, including the ongoing confrontation with Iran and its regional allies. While some political figures and analysts speculate that military escalation, internal political divisions, or future elections could threaten his position, others believe the crisis environment may strengthen his hold on power. The key uncertainty is whether Israel’s volatile political landscape will lead to a leadership change before the end of 2026.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, at any time on or before December 31, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of Israel, due to resignation, electoral defeat, government collapse, removal from office, or any other reason. Otherwise — “No.”

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