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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 2
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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
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After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

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A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event
category

Geopolitics

(68)
event

Will Donald Trump announce a clear strategy for Operation “Epic Fury” against Iran?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will authorities in Kazakhstan identify and charge a suspect over the “Putin – asshole” graffiti on the Uzyngash monument?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Iran carry out a direct military strike on Kazakhstan?

18%
82%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan strengthen air defense systems in its western regions after rising drone threats in the Caspian area?

71%
29%
Until the end
event

Will Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei remain in power through 2026?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan receive more than 25,000 refugees from Iran amid escalating Middle East conflict?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will the war involving Iran lead to a measurable reduction in Western air defense supplies to Ukraine?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will Russia’s oil export revenues increase due to higher oil prices during the U.S.–Israel military operation against Iran?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will the U.S.–Israel conflict with Iran end by April 30, 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will the United States impose formal financial sanctions on Switzerland’s MBaer Merchant Bank?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan provide material assistance to the UAE or Qatar amid the regional escalation?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan significantly expand trade with Iran following the current geopolitical escalation?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Israel launch a full-scale ground invasion of Lebanon amid escalating clashes with Hezbollah?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Germany, France, or the United Kingdom conduct direct military strikes against Iran amid escalating warnings from Tehran?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan take further diplomatic action beyond statements regarding the Iran-related escalation?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Russia or China provide direct military support to Iran amid the ongoing U.S.-Israeli strikes?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will European natural gas prices rise another 20% amid Middle East energy disruptions?

67%
33%
Until the end
event

Will gold (XAU/USD) reach or exceed 5,600 amid escalating Middle East tensions?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will the United States, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates conduct direct military strikes against Iran following the recent cross-border attacks?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will the UK conduct additional military strikes from Cyprus amid rising tensions with Iran?

60%
40%
Until the end