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Will Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Event ended

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Rising regional tensions and continued disputes over Iran’s military and nuclear capabilities have renewed speculation about a potential direct strike by Israel against Iran. Israeli officials have repeatedly stated they reserve the right to act militarily if they view Iran as an existential threat, while Tehran warns of severe retaliation.

Geopolitics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by January 31, 2026, Israel conducts a direct, acknowledged military strike against Iranian territory or clearly Iranian-controlled strategic assets, as confirmed by Israeli, Iranian, or major international media sources. Otherwise — No.

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