Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will the Philadelphia SOX semiconductor index surpass its 2024 all-time high by December 31, 2025?

50%
50%

Fueled by AI optimism and major chipmaker deals, global semiconductor stocks added over $200 billion in value in one trading day, according to Bloomberg. The SOX index is trading at a high P/E multiple, nearing 2024's record. Investors expect the momentum to continue through earnings season.

Finance
Technology

Conditions

Resolves to 'Yes' if the SOX (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index) closes above its 2024 all-time high on any trading day before or on December 31, 2025. Reliable financial data providers (e.g. Bloomberg, Nasdaq) will be used for verification.

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