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Search event

Will Tokayev’s reshuffle lead to changes in Kazakhstan’s military conscription policy?

67%
33%

President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has appointed Kanysh Abubakirov as First Deputy Minister of Defense and Chief of the General Staff, replacing Sultan Kamaletdinov. The outgoing chief drew public criticism for justifying forced conscription raids by citing constitutional duty, making the leadership change politically sensitive amid ongoing debates over draft practices. Abubakirov, who previously oversaw logistics and military infrastructure, now assumes operational command—raising questions about whether the Armed Forces will adjust their approach to conscription and enforcement.

Kazakhstan
Politics

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, Kazakhstan formally revises conscription practices — such as issuing new Defense Ministry guidelines, limiting forced draft enforcement, introducing clearer legal procedures, or publicly announcing policy changes — confirmed by government statements or major national media. Otherwise — No.

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