Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Lukoil exit its Kazakhstan assets by the U.S. deadline?

40%
60%

Under U.S. sanctions imposed in October, Lukoil has been ordered to sell its international asset portfolio — valued at roughly $22 billion — by January 17, 2026, according to Reuters. The package includes significant stakes in Kazakhstan, such as 5% in Tengiz, 13.5% in Karachaganak, full ownership of Lukoil Lubricants Central Asia, and 50% stakes in several offshore projects with KazMunayGas. Potential buyers reportedly include Carlyle, a Chevron–Quantum Capital Group consortium, and International Holding Company, with interest also from ExxonMobil and ADNOC. Any deal requires approval from OFAC, which has already blocked two prior attempts.

Economics
Kazakhstan
Markets

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by February 28, 2026, Lukoil completes a sale or secures OFAC-approved binding agreements to divest its Kazakhstan assets (including Tengiz/Karachaganak stakes), confirmed by company disclosures or major international media. Otherwise — No.

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