
Will Lukoil exit its Kazakhstan assets by the U.S. deadline?
Under U.S. sanctions imposed in October, Lukoil has been ordered to sell its international asset portfolio — valued at roughly $22 billion — by January 17, 2026, according to Reuters. The package includes significant stakes in Kazakhstan, such as 5% in Tengiz, 13.5% in Karachaganak, full ownership of Lukoil Lubricants Central Asia, and 50% stakes in several offshore projects with KazMunayGas. Potential buyers reportedly include Carlyle, a Chevron–Quantum Capital Group consortium, and International Holding Company, with interest also from ExxonMobil and ADNOC. Any deal requires approval from OFAC, which has already blocked two prior attempts.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if by February 28, 2026, Lukoil completes a sale or secures OFAC-approved binding agreements to divest its Kazakhstan assets (including Tengiz/Karachaganak stakes), confirmed by company disclosures or major international media. Otherwise — No.
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