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Search event

Will WTI crude oil drop below $80 per barrel before July 15, 2026?

75%
25%

WTI crude has fallen sharply to around $91 per barrel as the US and Iran approach a ceasefire agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz. A formal deal and easing of shipping disruptions could push supply relief sufficient to break WTI below $80. A collapse in negotiations or renewed escalation would likely sustain prices at current levels or higher.

Finance

Conditions

Resolves "Yes" if the WTI crude oil price falls below $80.00 per barrel at any time on or before July 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, as reported by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), Bloomberg, or Reuters. Otherwise — "No".

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