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Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

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Step 3
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A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will gold (XAU/USD) exceed $4,600 per troy ounce before July 31, 2026?

67%
33%

Gold is currently trading near $4,300 per troy ounce, supported by safe-haven demand driven by the Iran conflict and inflation uncertainty. A breakdown in US-Iran negotiations or sustained Fed hesitation on rate cuts could push gold toward $4,600. A successful ceasefire deal and recovery in equities would likely cap the upside.

Finance
Markets

Conditions

Resolves "Yes" if the XAU/USD spot price reaches or exceeds $4,600 per troy ounce at any time on or before July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, as confirmed by Bloomberg, Reuters, or the World Gold Council. Otherwise — "No".

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