Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 2
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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will the S&P 500 close above 8,000 points before July 31, 2026?

60%
40%

The S&P 500 is trading near 7,473 points, having recovered partially on optimism around US-Iran deal progress. A formal ceasefire, easing energy price pressures, and improved corporate earnings sentiment could provide a path to 8,000. Continued Fed hawkishness, elevated inflation, and unresolved geopolitical risks represent significant headwinds.

Finance
Markets

Conditions

Resolves "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index (SPX) closes at or above 8,000 points on any trading day on or before July 31, 2026, as confirmed by Bloomberg, Reuters, or Yahoo Finance. Otherwise — "No".

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